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Belfast East

Gavin Robinson

— Current MP

70,076

Electorate

Elections

62.3%

Avg turnout

Times changed

Election history

DUP Gavin Robinson Hold

2024-07-04

Majority 2,676 Turnout 58.6% Votes 42,706

Candidate	Party	Count	Share	Swing
✓ Gavin Robinson	DUP	19,894	46.6%	-1.3pp
Naomi Long	ALL	17,218	40.3%	-1.8pp
John Ross	TRA	1,918	4.5%	—
Ryan Warren	ULS	1,818	4.3%	-1.5pp
Brian Smyth		1,077	2.5%	—
Séamas De Faoite	LAB	619	1.5%	-2.9pp
Ryan North		162	0.4%	—

Candidate	Party	Count	Share	Swing
✓ Gavin Robinson		20,874	49.2%	-6.6pp
Naomi Long	SOC	19,055	44.9%	+8.9pp
Carl McClean		2,516	5.9%	+2.6pp

Candidate	Party	Count	Share	Swing
✓ Gavin Robinson		23,917	55.8%	+6.4pp
Naomi Long	SOC	15,443	36.0%	-6.8pp
Hazel Legge		1,408	3.3%	—
Mairead O'Donnell		894	2.1%	+0.0pp
Georgina Milne		561	1.3%	-1.4pp
Sheila Bodel	CON	446	1.0%	-1.8pp
Seamas de Faoite	LAB	167	0.4%	+0.1pp
Bobby Beck		54	0.1%	—

Candidate	Party	Count	Share	Swing
✓ Gavin Robinson		19,575	49.3%	+16.6pp
Naomi Long	SOC	16,978	42.8%	+5.6pp
Neil Wilson	CON	1,121	2.8%	—
Ross Brown		1,058	2.7%	—
Niall Ó Donnghaile		823	2.1%	-0.3pp
Mary Muldoon	LAB	127	0.3%	-0.7pp

Candidate	Party	Count	Share	Swing
✓ Naomi Long	SOC	12,839	37.2%	—
Peter Robinson		11,306	32.8%	-19.6pp
Trevor Ringland		7,305	21.2%	—
David Vance		1,856	5.4%	—
Niall O'Donnghaile		817	2.4%	-0.1pp
Mary Muldoon	LAB	365	1.1%	-1.1pp

Demographics

Changes shown vs 2011 Census

📊 Age

35 to 49

21.5%

0 to 17

20.9%

50 to 64

19.1%

65 and over

16.8% ▼0.6pp

25 to 34

15.6%

18 to 24

6.1%

🌍 Ethnicity

White

94.7%

Asian or Asian British

2.8%

Other ethnic group

1.6%

Black, African, Caribbean or Black British

0.9%

📊 Age

65 and over

16.5%

18 to 24

6.7%

⛪ Religion

Christian

64.6%

No religion

31.4%

Muslim

1.0%

Other religion

0.8%

Hindu

0.6%

🎓 Education

Level 4 qualifications or above

37.8%

No qualifications

21.2%

🏠 Housing

Owner-occupiers

59.1%

Social renters

19.9%

Private renters

18.5%

🌍 Ethnicity

White

97.1%

Asian or Asian British

1.9%

Mixed or Multiple ethnic groups

0.5%

Black, African, Caribbean or Black British

0.3%

Other ethnic group

0.2%

📊 Age

45 to 64

24.3%

30 to 44

21.9%

Under 18

20.9%

65 and over

17.4%

18 to 29

15.5%

Demographic change (2001–2021)

Measured change only. No assumptions or interpretation.

🌍 Ethnicity

Group	2001 %	2011 %	2021 %	01→11	11→21	01→21
Other ethnic group	—	0.2%	1.6%	—	+1.4pp	—
Asian or Asian British	—	1.9%	2.8%	—	+0.9pp	—
Black, African, Caribbean or Black British	—	0.3%	0.9%	—	+0.6pp	—
Mixed or Multiple ethnic groups	—	0.5%	—	—	—	—
White	—	97.1%	94.7%	—	-2.4pp	—

⛪ Religion

Group	2001 %	2011 %	2021 %	01→11	11→21	01→21
Christian	—	—	64.6%	—	—	—
Hindu	—	—	0.6%	—	—	—
Muslim	—	—	1.0%	—	—	—
No religion	—	—	31.4%	—	—	—
Other religion	—	—	0.8%	—	—	—

🎓 Education

Group	2001 %	2011 %	2021 %	01→11	11→21	01→21
Level 4 qualifications or above	—	—	37.8%	—	—	—
No qualifications	—	—	21.2%	—	—	—

🏠 Housing

Group	2001 %	2011 %	2021 %	01→11	11→21	01→21
Owner-occupiers	—	—	59.1%	—	—	—
Private renters	—	—	18.5%	—	—	—
Social renters	—	—	19.9%	—	—	—

Previous MPs

MP	Party	From	To
Naomi Long	ALL	2010-05-06	2015-03-30
Mr Peter Robinson	DUP	1986-01-23	2010-05-06
William Craig	ULS	1974-02-28	1979-05-03