North East Hertfordshire

Election history

LAB Chris Hinchliff Gain

2024-07-04

Majority 1,923 Turnout 67.6% Votes 52,520

Candidate	Party	Count	Share	Swing
✓ Chris Hinchliff	LAB	18,358	35.0%	+11.3pp
Nikki Da Costa	CON	16,435	31.3%	-25.3pp
Steve Adelantado	REF	8,462	16.1%	—
Ruth Brown	LD	5,463	10.4%	-5.1pp
Vicky Burt	GRN	3,802	7.2%	+3.0pp

Candidate	Party	Count	Share	Swing
✓ Oliver Heald	CON	31,293	56.6%	-2.1pp
Kelley Green	LAB	13,104	23.7%	-4.7pp
Amy Finch	LD	8,563	15.5%	+7.8pp
Tim Lee	GRN	2,367	4.3%	-1.1pp

Candidate	Party	Count	Share	Swing
✓ Oliver Heald	CON	32,587	58.6%	+3.3pp
Doug Swanney	LAB	15,752	28.3%	+9.5pp
Nicky Shepard	LD	4,276	7.7%	+0.1pp
Tim Lee	GRN	2,965	5.3%	+0.0pp

Candidate	Party	Count	Share	Swing
✓ Oliver Heald	CON	28,949	55.4%	+1.8pp
Chris York	LAB	9,869	18.9%	+2.4pp
William Compton		6,728	12.9%	+8.8pp
Joe Jordan	LD	3,952	7.6%	-15.8pp
Mario May	GRN	2,789	5.3%	+3.6pp

Candidate	Party	Count	Share	Swing
✓ Oliver Heald	CON	26,995	53.5%	+5.5pp
Hugh Annand	LD	11,801	23.4%	+3.1pp
David Kirkman	LAB	8,291	16.4%	-11.9pp
Adrianne Smyth		2,075	4.1%	+0.8pp
Rosemary Bland	GRN	875	1.7%	—
Richard Campbell		209	0.4%	—
David Ralph		143	0.3%	—
Phillip Reichardt		36	0.1%	—

Demographics

Changes shown vs 2001 Census

📊 Age

65 and over

21.3%

0 to 17

21.0%

50 to 64

20.6%

35 to 49

19.5%

25 to 34

11.6%

18 to 24

5.9%

🌍 Ethnicity

White

91.0%

Asian or Asian British

3.7%

Other ethnic group

3.7%

Mixed or Multiple ethnic groups

2.9%

Black, African, Caribbean or Black British

1.7%

📊 Age

65 and over

20.4%

18 to 24

6.2%

⛪ Religion

Christian

46.6%

No religion

43.5%

Not answered

5.8%

Other religion

2.4%

Sikh

1.2%

Muslim

0.8%

Hindu

0.8%

Buddhist

0.4%

Jewish

0.3%

🎓 Education

Level 4 qualifications or above

37.4%

Level 3 qualifications

16.4%

No qualifications

14.5%

Level 2 qualifications

14.2%

Level 1 and entry level qualifications

10.1%

Apprenticeship

5.0%

Other qualifications

2.4%

🏠 Housing

Owner-occupiers

67.8%

Social renters

19.0%

Private renters

13.1%

Rent free

0.0%

🌍 Ethnicity

White

92.6%

Asian or Asian British

3.8%

Mixed or Multiple ethnic groups

2.0%

Black, African, Caribbean or Black British

1.2%

Other ethnic group

0.4%

📊 Age

45 to 64

28.2%

Under 18

22.2%

30 to 44

20.2%

65 and over

17.7%

18 to 29

11.7%

⛪ Religion

Christian

60.0%

No religion

28.9%

Not answered

7.3%

Sikh

1.4%

Hindu

0.6%

Muslim

0.6%

Other religion

0.5%

Buddhist

0.4%

Jewish

0.3%

🎓 Education

Level 4 qualifications or above

31.2%

No qualifications

19.3%

Level 2 qualifications

16.4%

Level 1 and entry level qualifications

14.0%

Level 3 qualifications

11.5%

Other qualifications

4.0%

Apprenticeship

3.6%

🏠 Housing

Owner-occupiers

68.1%

Social renters

19.5%

Private renters

11.1%

Rent free

1.3%

🌍 Ethnicity

White

95.2%

Asian or Asian British

2.4%

Mixed or Multiple ethnic groups

1.1%

Black, African, Caribbean or Black British

0.8%

Other ethnic group

0.5%

⛪ Religion

Christian

72.1%

No religion

17.6%

Not answered

7.3%

Sikh

1.4%

Hindu

0.4%

Muslim

0.4%

Other religion

0.3%

Buddhist

0.3%

Jewish

0.2%

🎓 Education

No qualifications

24.3%

Level 4 qualifications or above

22.5%

Level 2 qualifications

21.4%

Level 1 and entry level qualifications

17.7%

Level 3 qualifications

7.6%

Other qualifications

6.5%

🏠 Housing

Owner-occupiers

70.0%

Social renters

21.2%

Private renters

7.3%

Rent free

2.0%

Demographic change (2001–2021)

Measured change only. No assumptions or interpretation.

🌍 Ethnicity

Group	2001 %	2011 %	2021 %	01→11	11→21	01→21
Other ethnic group	0.5%	0.4%	3.7%	-0.1pp	+3.3pp	+3.2pp
Asian or Asian British	2.4%	3.8%	3.7%	+1.3pp	-0.1pp	+1.2pp
Black, African, Caribbean or Black British	0.8%	1.2%	1.7%	+0.4pp	+0.5pp	+0.9pp
Mixed or Multiple ethnic groups	1.1%	2.0%	2.9%	+0.9pp	+0.9pp	+1.8pp
White	95.2%	92.6%	91.0%	-2.6pp	-1.6pp	-4.2pp

⛪ Religion

Group	2001 %	2011 %	2021 %	01→11	11→21	01→21
Buddhist	0.3%	0.4%	0.4%	+0.2pp	0.0pp	+0.2pp
Christian	72.1%	60.0%	46.6%	-12.1pp	-13.4pp	-25.4pp
Hindu	0.4%	0.6%	0.8%	+0.2pp	+0.1pp	+0.3pp
Jewish	0.2%	0.3%	0.3%	0.0pp	0.0pp	+0.1pp
Muslim	0.4%	0.6%	0.8%	+0.2pp	+0.2pp	+0.4pp
Sikh	1.4%	1.4%	1.2%	0.0pp	-0.1pp	-0.1pp
No religion	17.6%	28.9%	43.5%	+11.3pp	+14.6pp	+25.9pp
Other religion	0.3%	0.5%	2.4%	+0.2pp	+2.0pp	+2.2pp
Not answered	7.3%	7.3%	5.8%	0.0pp	-1.5pp	-1.5pp

🎓 Education

Group	2001 %	2011 %	2021 %	01→11	11→21	01→21
Apprenticeship	—	3.6%	5.0%	—	+1.4pp	—
Level 4 qualifications or above	22.5%	31.2%	37.4%	+8.7pp	+6.2pp	+14.8pp
Level 1 and entry level qualifications	17.7%	14.0%	10.1%	-3.7pp	-3.9pp	-7.6pp
Level 2 qualifications	21.4%	16.4%	14.2%	-5.0pp	-2.1pp	-7.2pp
Level 3 qualifications	7.6%	11.5%	16.4%	+3.9pp	+4.9pp	+8.8pp
No qualifications	24.3%	19.3%	14.5%	-5.0pp	-4.8pp	-9.8pp
Other qualifications	6.5%	4.0%	2.4%	-2.5pp	-1.6pp	-4.1pp

🏠 Housing

Group	2001 %	2011 %	2021 %	01→11	11→21	01→21
Owner-occupiers	70.0%	68.1%	67.8%	-1.9pp	-0.2pp	-2.2pp
Private renters	7.3%	11.1%	13.1%	+3.8pp	+2.0pp	+5.8pp
Rent free	2.0%	1.3%	0.0%	-0.7pp	-1.3pp	-2.0pp
Social renters	21.2%	19.5%	19.0%	-1.7pp	-0.5pp	-2.2pp

Previous MPs

1

MP	Party	From	To
Sir Oliver Heald	CON	1992-04-09	2024-05-30