Watford | ProjectParly

Election history

LAB Matt Turmaine Gain

2024-07-04

Majority 4,723 Turnout 60.8% Votes 44,455

Candidate	Party	Count	Share	Swing
✓ Matt Turmaine	LAB	15,708	35.3%	-4.0pp
Dean Russell	CON	10,985	24.7%	-17.3pp
Ian Stotesbury	LD	7,577	17.0%	-0.7pp
Gary Ling	REF	4,930	11.1%	—
Khalid Chohan	WOR	2,659	6.0%	—
Arran Bowen-la Grange	GRN	2,428	5.5%	+5.2pp
Sarah Knott		168	0.4%	—

Candidate	Party	Count	Share	Swing
✓ Dean Russell	CON	26,421	45.5%	-0.1pp
Chris Ostrowski	LAB	21,988	37.9%	-4.2pp
Ian Stotesbury	LD	9,323	16.1%	+7.0pp
Michael McGetrick	SOC	333	0.6%	—

Candidate	Party	Count	Share	Swing
✓ Richard Harrington	CON	26,731	45.6%	+2.2pp
Chris Ostrowski	LAB	24,639	42.0%	+16.0pp
Ian Stotesbury	LD	5,335	9.1%	-9.0pp
Ian Green		1,184	2.0%	-7.7pp
Alex Murray	GRN	721	1.2%	-1.1pp

Candidate	Party	Count	Share	Swing
✓ Richard Harrington	CON	24,400	43.5%	+8.5pp
Matt Turmaine	LAB	14,606	26.0%	-0.7pp
Dorothy Thornhill	LD	10,152	18.1%	-14.3pp
Nick Lincoln		5,481	9.8%	+7.6pp
Aidan Cottrell-Boyce	GRN	1,332	2.4%	+0.8pp
Mark O'Connor		178	0.3%	—

Candidate	Party	Count	Share	Swing
✓ Richard Harrington	CON	19,291	34.9%	+5.3pp
Sal Brinton	LD	17,866	32.4%	+1.1pp
Claire Ward	LAB	14,750	26.7%	-6.8pp
Andrew Emerson		1,217	2.2%	—
Graham Eardley		1,199	2.2%	-0.4pp
Ian Brandon	GRN	885	1.6%	-1.4pp

Demographics

Changes shown vs 2001 Census

📊 Age

35 to 49

24.0%

0 to 17

23.5%

50 to 64

16.8%

25 to 34

15.8%

65 and over

13.1%

18 to 24

6.9%

🌍 Ethnicity

White

61.6%

Asian or Asian British

24.0%

Other ethnic group

8.2%

Black, African, Caribbean or Black British

6.2%

Mixed or Multiple ethnic groups

4.7%

📊 Age

65 and over

12.7%

18 to 24

7.0%

⛪ Religion

Christian

44.3%

No religion

25.0%

Muslim

12.4%

Hindu

8.3%

Not answered

6.1%

Other religion

3.8%

Jewish

1.3%

Buddhist

1.0%

Sikh

0.6%

🎓 Education

Level 4 qualifications or above

41.2%

No qualifications

15.6%

Level 3 qualifications

14.5%

Level 2 qualifications

12.4%

Level 1 and entry level qualifications

9.2%

Apprenticeship

4.1%

Other qualifications

3.0%

🏠 Housing

Owner-occupiers

57.0%

Private renters

27.5%

Social renters

15.5%

Rent free

0.0%

🌍 Ethnicity

White

75.1%

Asian or Asian British

15.7%

Black, African, Caribbean or Black British

5.1%

Mixed or Multiple ethnic groups

3.2%

Other ethnic group

0.9%

📊 Age

30 to 44

24.0%

45 to 64

23.4%

Under 18

22.8%

18 to 29

16.4%

65 and over

13.3%

⛪ Religion

Christian

55.8%

No religion

21.6%

Muslim

8.2%

Not answered

6.8%

Hindu

4.6%

Jewish

1.3%

Buddhist

0.7%

Sikh

0.5%

Other religion

0.5%

🎓 Education

Level 4 qualifications or above

31.6%

No qualifications

17.7%

Level 2 qualifications

15.4%

Level 1 and entry level qualifications

13.6%

Level 3 qualifications

11.7%

Other qualifications

6.8%

Apprenticeship

3.2%

🏠 Housing

Owner-occupiers

65.7%

Private renters

17.7%

Social renters

15.8%

Rent free

0.8%

🌍 Ethnicity

White

87.5%

Asian or Asian British

7.3%

Black, African, Caribbean or Black British

2.3%

Mixed or Multiple ethnic groups

2.0%

Other ethnic group

1.0%

⛪ Religion

Christian

67.6%

No religion

15.8%

Not answered

7.3%

Muslim

5.1%

Hindu

1.8%

Jewish

1.3%

Sikh

0.4%

Other religion

0.4%

Buddhist

0.3%

🎓 Education

No qualifications

23.7%

Level 4 qualifications or above

22.7%

Level 2 qualifications

21.6%

Level 1 and entry level qualifications

17.4%

Level 3 qualifications

8.4%

Other qualifications

6.1%

🏠 Housing

Owner-occupiers

75.4%

Social renters

15.8%

Private renters

8.6%

Rent free

1.0%

Demographic change (2001–2021)

Measured change only. No assumptions or interpretation.

🌍 Ethnicity

Group	2001 %	2011 %	2021 %	01→11	11→21	01→21
Other ethnic group	1.0%	0.9%	8.2%	-0.1pp	+7.3pp	+7.2pp
Asian or Asian British	7.3%	15.7%	24.0%	+8.4pp	+8.3pp	+16.7pp
Black, African, Caribbean or Black British	2.3%	5.1%	6.2%	+2.8pp	+1.1pp	+3.9pp
Mixed or Multiple ethnic groups	2.0%	3.2%	4.7%	+1.3pp	+1.5pp	+2.8pp
White	87.5%	75.1%	61.6%	-12.4pp	-13.5pp	-25.9pp

⛪ Religion

Group	2001 %	2011 %	2021 %	01→11	11→21	01→21
Buddhist	0.3%	0.7%	1.0%	+0.4pp	+0.3pp	+0.7pp
Christian	67.6%	55.8%	44.3%	-11.8pp	-11.5pp	-23.3pp
Hindu	1.8%	4.6%	8.3%	+2.8pp	+3.7pp	+6.5pp
Jewish	1.3%	1.3%	1.3%	-0.1pp	+0.1pp	0.0pp
Muslim	5.1%	8.2%	12.4%	+3.2pp	+4.2pp	+7.4pp
Sikh	0.4%	0.5%	0.6%	+0.1pp	+0.1pp	+0.2pp
No religion	15.8%	21.6%	25.0%	+5.8pp	+3.4pp	+9.2pp
Other religion	0.4%	0.5%	3.8%	+0.1pp	+3.3pp	+3.4pp
Not answered	7.3%	6.8%	6.1%	-0.5pp	-0.6pp	-1.2pp

🎓 Education

Group	2001 %	2011 %	2021 %	01→11	11→21	01→21
Apprenticeship	—	3.2%	4.1%	—	+0.9pp	—
Level 4 qualifications or above	22.7%	31.6%	41.2%	+8.9pp	+9.6pp	+18.5pp
Level 1 and entry level qualifications	17.4%	13.6%	9.2%	-3.9pp	-4.4pp	-8.2pp
Level 2 qualifications	21.6%	15.4%	12.4%	-6.2pp	-3.0pp	-9.2pp
Level 3 qualifications	8.4%	11.7%	14.5%	+3.3pp	+2.8pp	+6.1pp
No qualifications	23.7%	17.7%	15.6%	-6.1pp	-2.0pp	-8.1pp
Other qualifications	6.1%	6.8%	3.0%	+0.7pp	-3.8pp	-3.1pp

🏠 Housing

Group	2001 %	2011 %	2021 %	01→11	11→21	01→21
Owner-occupiers	75.4%	65.7%	57.0%	-9.6pp	-8.7pp	-18.3pp
Private renters	8.6%	17.7%	27.5%	+9.1pp	+9.8pp	+18.9pp
Rent free	1.0%	0.8%	0.0%	-0.2pp	-0.7pp	-0.9pp
Social renters	15.8%	15.8%	15.5%	0.0pp	-0.3pp	-0.3pp

Previous MPs

3

MP	Party	From	To
Dean Russell	CON	2019-12-12	2024-05-30
Claire Ward	LAB	1997-05-01	2010-05-06
John Freeman	LAB	1945-07-05	1955-05-26